TF2 Average Unusuals Price

Information

This page is compiled manually through pricing data provided by backpack.tf
All effects / USD
Simple Average = 179.76 USD

Sep 27, 2013 GMT

(Was 130.80 USD on Mar 12, 2013 GMT)

Non-Special effects / USD
Simple Average = 129.77 USD

Sep 27, 2013 GMT

(Was 108.55 USD on Mar 12, 2013 GMT)

Old effects / USD
Simple Average = 174.03 USD

Sep 27, 2013 GMT

(Was 140.26 USD on Mar 12, 2013 GMT)

Green Confetti, Purple Confetti, Haunted Ghosts, Green Energy, Purple Energy, Circling TF Logo, Massed Flies, Burning Flames, Scorching Flames, Searing Plasma, Vivid Plasma, Sunbeams, Circling Peace Sign, Circling Heart

2011 Halloween effects / USD
Simple Average = 235.62 USD

Sep 27, 2013 GMT

(Was 146.19 USD on Mar 12, 2013 GMT)

Cloudy Moon, Eerie Orbiting Fire, Flaming Lantern, Cauldron Bubbles

New effects / USD
Simple Average = 59.96 USD

Sep 27, 2013 GMT

(Was 53.91 USD on Mar 12, 2013 GMT)

Bubbling, Steaming, Orbiting Fire, Orbiting Planets, Nuts n' Bolts, Smoking, Stormy Storm, Blizzardy Storm

2012 Halloween effects / USD
Simple Average = 353.10 USD

Sep 27, 2013 GMT

(Was 300.73 USD on Mar 12, 2013 GMT)

Knifestorm, Misty Skull, Harvest Moon, It's A Secret To Everybody, Stormy 13th Hour

  2013 Robotic effects / USD
Simple Average = 237.01 USD

Sep 27, 2013 GMT

Kill-a-Watt, Terror-Watt, Cloud 9, Aces High, Dead Presidents, Miami Nights, Disco Beat Down, Phosphorous, Sulphurous, Memory Leak, Overclocked, Electrostatic, Power Surge, Anti-Freeze, Time Warp, Green Black Hole, Roboactive

Unboxing Probability (p = 1%)

Warning

Evidence suggests that actual rate is lower than 1%. Please see http://tf2finance.com/rate/
Number of Keys used 1 10 20 30 100 200 300 1000
Average Unusuals unboxed 0.01 0.1 0.2 0.3 1 2 3 10
Variance of Unusuals unboxed 0.0099 0.099 0.198 0.297 0.99 1.98 2.97 9.9
No Unusuals 99.00% 90.44% 81.79% 73.97% 36.60% 13.40% 4.90% 0.00%
At least 1 Unusual 1.00% 9.56% 18.21% 26.03% 63.40% 86.60% 95.10% 99.99%
At least 2 Unusuals 0.00% 0.43% 1.69% 3.61% 26.42% 59.54% 80.24% 99.95%
At least 3 Unusuals 0.00% 0.01% 0.10% 0.33% 7.94% 32.33% 57.79% 99.73%

Unboxing Probability (p = 0.66...%)

Number of Keys used 1 10 20 30 100 200 300 1000
Average Unusuals unboxed 0.0067 0.0667 0.1333 0.2000 0.6667 1.3333 2.0000 6.6667
Variance of Unusuals unboxed 0.0066 0.0662 0.1324 0.1987 0.6622 1.3244 1.9867 6.6222
No Unusuals 99.33% 93.53% 87.48% 81.82% 51.23% 26.24% 13.44% 0.12%
At least 1 Unusual 0.67% 6.47% 12.52% 18.18% 48.77% 73.76% 86.56% 99.88%
At least 2 Unusuals 0.00% 0.19% 0.78% 1.71% 14.39% 38.53% 59.49% 99.04%
At least 3 Unusuals 0.00% 0.00% 0.03% 0.11% 2.97% 15.01% 32.33% 96.24%

Unboxing Probability (p = 0.5%)

Number of Keys used 1 10 20 30 100 200 300 1000
Average Unusuals unboxed 0.0050 0.0500 0.1000 0.1500 0.5000 1.0000 1.5000 5.0000
Variance of Unusuals unboxed 0.0050 0.0498 0.0995 0.1493 0.4975 0.9950 1.4925 4.9750
No Unusuals 99.50% 95.11% 90.46% 86.04% 60.58% 36.70% 22.23% 0.67%
At least 1 Unusual 0.50% 4.89% 9.54% 13.96% 39.42% 63.30% 77.77% 99.33%
At least 2 Unusuals 0.00% 0.11% 0.45% 0.99% 8.98% 26.42% 44.26% 95.99%
At least 3 Unusuals 0.00% 0.00% 0.01% 0.05% 1.41% 7.98% 19.08% 87.60%

 

News (March 12, 2013)
Page created by deriving data from backpack.tf

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